BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Michigan St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 57 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (1-8) Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength =  141.19

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2016 Home    W   135.37  28  13   1B  23 (  3-  8) Furman                 -5.82     20.82                      
  2 09/17/2016 Away    W   155.79  36  28   1A  40 (  4-  8) Notre Dame             14.60     -6.60                      
  3 09/24/2016 Home    L * 132.38   6  30   1A   6 ( 10-  3) Wisconsin              -8.81    -15.19                      
  4 10/01/2016 Away    L * 138.36  21  24   1A  72 (  6-  7) Indiana                -2.83     -0.17                      
  5 10/08/2016 Home    L   127.87  14  31   1A  37 (  9-  4) Brigham Young         -13.32     -3.68                      
  6 10/15/2016 Home    L * 131.51  40  54   1A  32 (  7-  6) Northwestern           -9.68     -4.32                      
  7 10/22/2016 Away    L * 124.63  17  28   1A  62 (  6-  7) Maryland              -16.56      5.56                      
  8 10/29/2016 Home    L * 159.17  23  32   1A   4 ( 10-  3) Michigan               17.99    -26.99                      
  9 11/05/2016 Away    L * 127.59  27  31   1A  91 (  3-  9) Illinois              -13.60      9.60                      
 10 11/12/2016 Home    W * 168.46  49   0   1A 103 (  2- 10) Rutgers                27.27     21.73                      
 11 11/19/2016 Home    L * 167.41  16  17   1A   3 ( 11-  2) Ohio State             26.22    -27.22                      
 12 11/26/2016 Away    L * 125.72  12  45   1A  10 ( 11-  3) Penn State            -15.47    -17.53                      
      Averages             141.19  24.1 27.8

Best game:  168.46 = 49 point win over Rutgers
Worst game: 124.63 = 11 point loss to Maryland
Team stdev:  16.67